Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.052686 0.057185 0.061739 0.066686 0.071901 0.077227 0.083072
2025-03-30 0.045943 0.052569 0.059511 0.067300 0.075766 0.084666 0.094700
2025-04-06 0.040164 0.048227 0.056943 0.067000 0.078225 0.090308 0.104237
2025-04-13 0.036742 0.046033 0.056351 0.068546 0.082457 0.097722 0.115634
2025-04-20 0.032630 0.042638 0.054050 0.067852 0.083920 0.101869 0.123270
2025-04-27 0.029743 0.040392 0.052827 0.068174 0.086361 0.106990 0.131920
2025-05-04 0.027768 0.039045 0.052500 0.069403 0.089743 0.113116 0.141686
2025-05-11 0.026504 0.038448 0.052969 0.071499 0.094093 0.120345 0.152742
2025-05-18 0.023266 0.035119 0.049880 0.069080 0.092872 0.120888 0.155861
2025-05-25 0.021268 0.033250 0.048485 0.068632 0.093940 0.124074 0.162050
2025-06-01 0.019493 0.031549 0.047194 0.068214 0.094962 0.127147 0.168065
2025-06-08 0.018901 0.031412 0.047898 0.070313 0.099109 0.134023 0.178698
2025-06-15 0.017935 0.030725 0.047876 0.071508 0.102191 0.139708 0.188051
2025-06-22 0.016919 0.029902 0.047625 0.072373 0.104845 0.144881 0.196826
2025-06-29 0.015611 0.028568 0.046608 0.072167 0.106087 0.148281 0.203425
2025-07-06 0.015038 0.028285 0.047015 0.073850 0.109772 0.154758 0.213874
2025-07-13 0.013752 0.026833 0.045707 0.073146 0.110291 0.157210 0.219297
2025-07-20 0.012891 0.025978 0.045200 0.073499 0.112174 0.161381 0.226880
2025-07-27 0.012370 0.025627 0.045393 0.074800 0.115307 0.167156 0.236502
2025-08-03 0.012138 0.025726 0.046235 0.077011 0.119674 0.174544 0.248211
2025-08-10 0.010658 0.023659 0.043771 0.074465 0.117547 0.173475 0.249121
2025-08-17 0.009821 0.022615 0.042795 0.073994 0.118204 0.176003 0.254614
2025-08-24 0.009053 0.021635 0.041868 0.073554 0.118872 0.178524 0.260092